Retirement: Five Financial Risks Ahead

In retirement, there are five major financial risks that must be accounted for. Your retirement income plan needs to have a solid strategy that helps you address and navigate these risks.

1. Interest Rate Risk. Traditionally, bonds were a great option to provide interest income to help supplement a retirees' Social Security or pension benefits. If a retiree required an extra $40,000 in annual income, and bonds were paying 4%, they would have to purchase $1 million worth of bonds. This would basically be an all-in strategy, where all of a person's savings went into bonds. That was ok when people retired at 65 and lived to age 72. Now, we have potentially 30-year periods in retirement. This leaves the retiree exposed to interest rate risk. Just what is interest rate risk? A fundamental principle of bond investing is that market interest rates and bond prices generally move in opposite directions. When market interest rates rise, prices on fixed-rate bonds fall. Interest rate risk is common to all bonds, even U.S. Treasury bonds. A bond's maturity and coupon rate generally affect how much its price will change as a result of changes in market interest rates. A bond's yield to maturity shows how much an investor's money will earn if the bond is held until it matures. If you have to sell your bonds before maturity, say when interest rates are rising, they may be worth less than you paid for it.
2. Market Risks. Another strategy is a mix of stocks and bonds. Bonds provide interest and stocks would give growth, providing a hedge for inflation. The problem with this drawdown strategy is that the markets have to cooperate. If you start taking income when markets are down, you are really decimating your portfolio. You're exponentially increasing the chances of running out of money in retirement. Stocks and bonds can be down at the same time. Market risk is the possibility for an investor to experience losses due to factors that affect the overall performance of the financial markets. Market risk cannot be eliminated through diversification, though it can be hedged against. The risk that a major natural disaster will cause a decline in the market as a whole is an example of market risk. Other sources of market risk include recessions, political turmoil, changes in interest rates and terrorist attacks.
3. Longevity Risk. Individuals often underestimate longevity risk. In the United States, most retirees do not expect to live past 85, but this is in fact the median conditional life expectancy for men at 65 (half of 65-year old men will live to 85 or older, and more women will). For individuals, insurers provide the majority of products designed to help individuals manage the risk that they outlive their assets. Individuals without defined benefit plans can ensure lifetime income by purchasing annuities within their defined contribution plans and personal retirement accounts.
4. Inflation Risk. Inflation risk, also called purchasing power risk, is the chance that the cash flow from an investment won't be worth as much in the future because of changes in purchasing power due to inflation. Although the record inflation of the 1970s is history, inflation risk is still a common worry for income investors. Inflation causes money to lose value, and any investment that involves cash flows over time is exposed to this inflation risk. The ramifications of this can be serious: The investor earns a lower return than he or she originally expected, in some cases causing the investor to withdraw some of a portfolio's principal if he or she is dependent on it for income. It is important to note that inflation risk isn't the risk that there will be inflation, it is the risk that inflation will be higher than expected.
5. Healthcare Risks. Inflation on healthcare costs coupled with living longer in retirement can spell disaster if not properly managed. Compounding this issue further is the rate of inflation on items such as prescription drugs and preventive care, which have historically exceeded the 3% general rate of inflation. According to a 2011 Fidelity Investments study, a 65-year-old couple would need $230,000 to pay for medical expenses through retirement, not including long-term care costs ranging from $35,000 for assisted living facilities and home health care, all the way up to $70,000 or more for nursing home care. These are significant expenditures which show no sign of decreasing. Traditional solutions such as Medicare and Medicaid are helpful, but they aren't always enough to meet an individuals needs. Around 69% of pre-retirees are very or somewhat concerned about having enough money to afford adequate healthcare; 51% of retirees share that level of concern. Additionally, 63% of pre-retirees are concerned about having enough to pay for long-term care; 52% of retirees share that concern.

If you are nearing retirement, or are already there, you need a strategy that addresses ALL of these risks. Professional mountain climbers know that most fatalities and injuries happen on the way down the mountain, not during the climb. Likewise, you have successfully navigated your way to the retirement savings summit. Now, you need a way to safely de-cumulate. There are a lot of risks to staying retired. If your current advisor is not helping you address all, or at least most of these risks, it's time for a second opinion.$

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