Monday, March 10, 2014

Fundamental Indexing: A Different Approach

Investors generally can divided into two camps: those who believe the market constantly misprices stocks, leaving opportunities for active traders to take advantage of; and those who accept the "efficient market theory" and believe that it is better to just hold index funds. But this "active versus passive" debate often leaves out a third viewpoint.


That view reflects the belief that while the market is not always perfectly efficient, it is difficult to consistently pick enough "winners" to overcome the management fees, trading expenses and income taxes associated with active stock trading.

Passive investors - meaning those who think that the market's pricing generally reflects the approximate current value of a company, given its future prospects - typically turn to index funds as the vehicle of choice. An index, like he S&P 500 or the Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, represents that particular small or large part of the market: If the market goes up or down, the index will move in parallel, since it is invested in the same way the market itself is constructed. Index funds are less expensive to operate, as their managers do not have to work to continually beat the market.

That said, most indexes have some disadvantages. Traditional indexes are "market cap weighted" (number of shares outstanding times their stock price). The higher the relative market value of a company, the greater portion of the index it will represent. However, when securities become over- or under-valued, market cap-weighted indices must assign a greater relative share to overvalued stocks; as a result, the market-cap indices exaggerate the market movement. For example, if a tech stock is trading at an excessive price/earnings (PE) ratio, a market-cap index will hold a larger amount of this stock than a similarly-sized company trading at a reasonable PE ratio.

Fundamental indices represent a different approach. Company size is measured by four equally weighted factors: sales, cash flows, book value and dollar value of dividends paid. These four factors are used to generate a ranking of the stocks in the sector being tracked. Note that his method completely ignores stock price, so while the market may be overvaluing that tech company mentioned above, the mispricing has no impact on how the stock ranks in a fundamental index. The fundamental methodology does not completely avoid owning "overvalued" stocks; it just holds them based on a truer measure of their value, not their stock market value. There is a large overlap when comparing the two - the names are most often the same, but the ranking is different.

Not many advisors have made the switch to fundamental indices, and we're glad they haven't. It's one more way that we can create an advantage for our clients. As we continue to scan the horizon for "best practices," we'll bring you what we find, so that there will be more and more ways for you to benefit from working with Retire Village.$

www.RayBuckner.retirevillage.com

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